To succeed in the fantasy baseball game and in the game of life quite frankly, you have to take chances on calculated risks: such as picking up or trading for a player that most fantasy analysts considered Dunn prior to this yearâ€™s draft (Pun intended).Â Cheers to you guys who rolled with David Wright, David Ortiz, and Adam Dunn and stood tall to the mockery of your league mates.Â It could also be the prospect you took a flier on that transforms your team to title contender. And with the Mike Trouts and Bryce Harpers of the world, why not right?
Alternatively, taking these chances could also blow up in our face. Remember the name Brandon Wood?Â Exactly.Â But that is the whole beauty of it, isnâ€™t it? Testing your gut instinct and anticipating the confirmation that you made the right choice, is oh, so satisfying. And to mention that everyone in your league hates you for getting it right is just the cherry on top.
Taking on calculated risk is not just good for reaping the increased reward; itâ€™s also good for the soul.Â And with baseball, we at least have some prior data sets to work with in projecting the risk/rewards.
So without further ado, here are the predictions:
- Johnny CuetoÂ will be a 20 game winner in 2012.
Cuetoâ€™s ERA currently sits at 2.37 and we project that he is on pace to throw over 210 innings.Â While Mat Latos was supposed to be the cornerstone of the rotation in Cincinnati this year the Reds will need every Johnny â€śBe Goodâ€ť win they can get to lock up the NL Central.
FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation:Â If you have him rostered in your league, donâ€™t sell high.Â 2012 should be a career season for Mr. Cueto
- Ryan Dempsterâ€™sÂ line at end of year 2.50 ERA/195 K/ 13+ wins.
Wrigley Fieldâ€™s Favorite sonÂ Ryan DempsterÂ gets traded to the Dodgers and he will finish the season with ERA under 2.50 with 13+ wins, and 195+ strikeouts. Dempster is one of the better pitchers in the NL this season has gone largely unnoticed because of the lackluster Cubs offense. Dempsterâ€™s ERA is currently at 2.11 and while his 3-3 record is not Hollywood glamorous, itâ€™s pretty darn good what he is doing in Chicago with no run support. Try to keep in mind his win/loss is a result of the poor offense in Chicago, and once he gets traded to a contender his value should go through the roof.
FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation: Trade for Dempster while he is on the DL.Â It might be your only moment to fleece him from your league mate before he gets shipped out. Your window is closing.
- Mike Trout finishes the year 20/50 and a top 10 fantasy OF
Angelsâ€™ 20-year old phenom Mike Trout hits 20 homers and steals 50 bags and finishes season as a Top 10 fantasy OF. Yes, you read that right. Currently, Trout has hit 6 homers and has 19 stolen bases under his belt and he is our favorite to win AL rookie of the year (perhaps he could have his first beer to celebrate that accomplishment). And just to put it out there, dare we say win the 2012 AL batting title too?
FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation: If you didnâ€™t pick him up when he was called up, it is too late now.Â For dynasty leaguers, do what you can to acquire him in a trade.
- Adam Dunn will hit 50 HR/110 RBI in 2012
Adam Dunn wins 2012 comeback player of the year and mashes out 50 HR/ 110 RBI. Mr. â€śDoneâ€ť is taking his bat and making fools of every analyst that had written him off with every homer he hits. Yes, he strikes out a ton. Yes his average is not one to brag about. But who cares? Dunn has catapulted the White Sox into the AL Central lead and possibly a playoff spot. One last parting shot, â€śOzzie who?â€ť
FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation:Â Dunn owners may be looking to â€śsell highâ€ť, while he wonâ€™t hit for an average over .250, he will hit more HRâ€™s than anyone else in baseball this year. If you need power in your lineup, do it.
- Carlos Beltran will lead the NL in HR/RBI and be a MVP candidate
Dunnâ€™s NL counterpart, Carlos Beltran,Â wins comeback player of the year, leads the NL in homers and RBIâ€™s, and is a nomination for NL MVP. Well, Beltran must be seeing the same doctor Kobe Bryant is seeing, because those knees seem to be working real fine now.
We predict Beltran to hit 40+ homers, but not quite certain to win the NL Central.Â FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation: The asking price will be too high for Beltran, but if you can afford it, pull the trigger. Dunn and Beltran are the steals of the fantasy draft in 2012.
- Anthony Rizzo will hit 15 HR in 2012
â€śR to the IZZ-O,â€ť would make rapper Jay-Z so proud. While the Chicago Cubs start their fire sale, they will call up and commit playing time to power hitting 1b prospect, AnthonyÂ Rizzo.Â Rizzo has been tearing up AAA already and has nothing left to prove at that level. Yes, this was the same scenario last year when he was called up, but that was the Padres, and we believe this year is different. We project that Rizzo hits 15 HR in the second half, cementing his status as a Top 10 1B next year. And the writing is on the vines of Wrigley for a Rizzo call up sooner rather than later as the Cubbies have already started to transition Bryan LaHair to the outfield.
FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation: In 12 team leagues or larger, pick him up off waivers NOW.Â He will be one of the better power hitting first basemen in baseball in the second half.
- Matt Moore will be a top 10 pitcher in the second half
Matt Moore will stop being â€śDudley Mooreâ€ť on the mound and finish with 15 wins and an ERA under 3.50. After an awful start to the season, Moore is feeling more comfortable as he has posted 4 straight starts of 6 IP or more and has recorded 51 Kâ€™s in his last 7 outings. Moore and Price will be the key to get the Rays into the playoffs and we are boldly predicting Moore to be a Top 10 SP in the second half.
FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation: Trade for him now before his value goes through the roof.Â He will still walk more batters than owners are comfortable with, but he will make up for it with a K/9 over 10.00.
- Adrian Gonzalez wonâ€™tÂ hit more than 20 HR in 2012
â€śFrankly my dear, I donâ€™t give a damn.â€ťÂ As one of the top 1B going into this draft, Adrian Gonzalezâ€™sÂ fantasy value has â€śGone with the Wind.â€ť Is it the Red Sox changing of the guard with Bobby V?Â Is it an injury we donâ€™t know about?Â Whatever it is, Gonzo has been a real bust this season and sadly, we project that he will hit under 20 homers this year. Yeah, really.Â FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation: If there is still an owner in your league who thinks Gonzalez will get his power swing back this season, make the deal while you still can.Â In most leagues, A-Gone probably doesnâ€™t have the trade value he once did and you will just have to ride it out and hope he makes some of it up to you post All-Star break. Bring back the chicken, beer and videogames?
- Jed Lowrie/ Jose Altuve are aÂ top 3Â offensiveÂ MI combo second half of 2012
Those Houston boys Jed Lowrie and Jose Altuve will finish the season as top 4 fantasy infielders.Â How many of you could have seen the middle infield combo of Lowrie/Altuve being this good in 2012?Â We see them maintaining this pace on offense with Lowrie hitting for power, and â€śMini-meâ€ť Altuve hitting over .300 while racking up runs and stealsâ€¦yes, we are buying.
FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation: Of the two, Lowrie should be your first pickup.Â He hits for power and a decent average while being eligible at 3B and SS in most leagues.Â While Altuve will hit for a high average, he wonâ€™t hit more than 12 HR, and should be the second add on this list.
- R.A. Dickey, Johan, and A.J. Burnett will maintain their fantasy relevance
New York Metsâ€™ RA Dickey, Johan Santana, and Pittsburgh Piratesâ€™ AJ Burnett regain and maintain fantasy relevance through seasonâ€™s end.Â These starting pitchers were left for dead in the Jersey turnpike (especially former NY Yankee AJ Burnett), before the 2012 fantasy draft. Well, the knuckleballer Dickey is the best pitcher in baseball right now, Johan Santana looks better than he did before the catastrophic injury, and Burnett is THE GUY in Pittsburgh.Â If it wasnâ€™t for the St Louis blow up a month ago, Burnett would be a Cy-Young candidate right now.Â FantasyTeamAdvice.comÂ recommendation: If you are looking to pick up a starting pitcher on the cheap, Burnett is your guy.Â They are putting something sweet in the Kool-Aid up in Pittsburgh these days as guys like James McDonald, Kevin Correia, and A.J. Burnett are anchoring the bullpen.Â A mid-level SP would be Johan Santana, and he could be available for the right price.Â Unbelievable, R.A. Dickey looks like he may get the nod as the NL starter for the All-Star game, and he would cost too much to make a move for at this time.
Tags: Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Sports, Mike Trout, MLB