Bullpens are in upheaval yet again as we’ve lost the best closer in the history of the game. The situations in Anaheim and Chicago aren’t much clearer either.
YANKEES BULLPEN
The News of the Day, the week, the season, is the knee injury sustained by Mariano Rivera Thursday. He has a torn ACL and his season, an potentially career, are over meaning we may have seen the last pitch from the greatest reliever the game has ever seen. If so, here are the numbers that Rivera would end his career with:
608 career saves. The most in history.
2.21 ERA. Amongst pitchers who have tossed 1,200 innings in their careers that is 9th all-time.
His ERA+, or his adjusted ERA compared to the league, is +206, the greatest mark in history (it shows that his ERA was 106 better than the league average pitcher during his career).
9.31 base runners per nine innings. That is the third best mark in the history of the game minimum 1,200 IP (8.94 for Addie Joss and 9.16 for Ed Walsh).
4.04 K/BB ratio. That is the 4th best mark in the history of the game minimum 1,200 IP (4.39 Curt Schilling, 4.15 Pedro Martinez and 4.06 Dan Haren).
While that is all nice, many of you just want to know what will happen to the 9th inning role for the Yankees.
You want the truth? Can you handle the truth? The truth is we don’t know who the closer for the Yankees will be. That’s the simple fact of the matter and why I continue to advocate for SOLDS (saves + holds) to be a category in the fantasy game versus just saves. That way we could stop the incessant run to the waiver-wire each day to try and find the next “closer.” You could simply roster the pitcher with the best skills and be assured of getting saves or holds and it wouldn’t matter. Now, it’s just a matter of being there when the news breaks so you can add the next guy regardless of his skills or his chance at holding the role for the next five months. I hate it, totally sick of it actually. Am I the only one?
The Yankees have two options to take over in the 9th – David Robertson and Rafael Soriano.
Robertson pushed aside worries about his foot injury in the preseason and has continued to dominate this season just like he did last year. Over his last 77.2 innings Robertson has a 0.93 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, is allowing a mere 5.45 hits per nine innings while striking out a massive 13.67 batters per nine innings. To state is plainly, there aren’t 10 relievers in baseball who have been better than him since the beginning of the 2011 season. I could continue to build on that statement but doesn’t it stand on it’s own without the need for further elucidation?
Soriano was given a 3-year, $35 million deal last year to be the insurance if Rivera were ever to go down. Unfortunately, as he has been want to do throughout his entire career, Soriano was injured last season and threw only 39.1 innings. Since 2004, here are Soriano’s innings pitched totals: 3.1, 7.1, 60, 72, 14, 75.2, 62.1 and 39.1. As you can tell, injuries are simply part of the bargain with Soriano. A 9.46 K/9 arm in his career, Soriano failed to post a mark of even 8.25 the last two years, and through nine innings this season that mark is just 8.00. Since the start of last season he’s also had a BB/9 mark of 4.47, light years above his 2.88 career mark. He simply hasn’t been the arm the Yankees thought they were getting.
Leads Team in Saves this year (guess): So who closes? Robertson has the better arm, is performing better and should be the option. However, Soriano has a 27 and 45 save season on his resume, Robertson has just three career saves, and Soriano was the one signed to the big money contract to pitch the 9th if Rivera went down. I hope the Yankees go with Robertson but I wouldn’t be at all surprised if they chose Soriano.
CUBS BULLPEN
Former closer: Carlos Marmol
The guy is a disaster. There I said it. Of course, that’s just who he is. When he’s locked in he dominates as impressively as any pitcher in baseball. When he struggles it’s as ugly as anything you’ve ever seen. So far it’s been mostly struggles as he’s walked 12 batters in 8.2 innings leading to two blown saves, a loss an a 2.31 WHIP
Current Contenders: RHP Rafael Dolis, LHP James Russell
According to Cubs’ manager Dale Sveum the team will go with matchups in the 9th inning. This news seems to favor Dolis who is the righty of the duo. Problem with Dolis is that his control isn’t that much better than Marmol’s. In 16.2 career innings this hard throwing righty has a 4.86 BB/9 mark. Is it a sample size thing? No. He’s been a 5.8 BB/9 guy in his minor league career. Russell has 7.2 scoreless innings under his belt this year, but in 124.1 career innings he has a 6.73 K/9 mark which isn’t strong, and that 0.70 GB/FB mark is extremely concerning. You give up 50 percent of your batted balls in the air and they eventually cost you a ton of ball games. For his career he’s allowed 1.66 homers per nine innings, and that is a scary number.
Leads Team in Saves this year (guess): Marmol. Neither of the other two options are good enough to hold on to the job unless Marmol continues to look this bad.
ANGELS BULLPEN
Former closer: Jordan Walden
He led baseball with 10 blown saves last year and no one in Anaheim was concerned. He went out and blew one save this year and walked four guys in 4.1 innings and suddenly he was being treated like an overweight model at a Playmate convention. I have no idea how the team soured on him so quickly, but clearly they have virtually no faith in him at the moment.
Current Contenders: LHP Scott Downs, RHP Ernesto Frieri
Downs was installed as the closer and he’s 2-for-2 converting save chances. Having appeared in 449 career games Downs has a total of 19 saves. That’s what happens when you are left-handed. An excellent big leaguer hurler for years, since the start of the 2007 season Downs has a 2.10 ERA, 1.11 ERA an a 2.57 K/BB ratio over 299.2 innings. The man can pitch, even if he doesn’t dominate. The Angels traded with the Padres to add Frieri to the mix. In 108.1 innings with the Padres, Frieri has dominated batters to the tune of an 11.38 K/9 mark and 2.33 ERA. He’s also way wild at times with a 4.65 BB/9 mark, and he gives up 57 percent of his batted balls in the air, and that’s a recipe for home run disaster.
Leads Team in Saves this year (guess): The Angels seem to have no faith in Walden, and Downs is left-handed and has little 9th inning experience. I’m going out on a limb and saying Frieri will lead this team in saves… but that limb is awfully thin.
Ray Flowers can be heard daily on Sirius/XM Radio on The Fantasy Drive on Sirius 210 and XM 87 from 5-8 PM EDT, Monday through Friday. Ray’s baseball analysis can be found at BaseballGuys.com and his minute to minute musings can be located at the BaseballGuys’ Twitter account.
Tags: Fantasy Baseball, Mariano Rivera, MLB
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