Coffin Corner: A look inside the numbers as you gear up for battles with clubs from the AFC.
BYE: BAL, CLE, DAL, MIA, STL, WAS
Joseph Addai is averaging 5.75 yards a carry this season, though he’s scored only one time in four games. In two regular season games against the Chiefs he’s averaged 61 yards and 0.5 touchdowns, along with 4.5 receptions, but if we add in a playoff game his success grows to 81.3 yards per game on the ground with two rushing scores in those three outings.
Cedric Benson ran 19 times for 104 yards last week. In his lone match up against the Jaguars he ran the ball 24 times for 104 yards and a score. The Jags are allowing 107 yards a game on the ground this season, so it certainly sounds like a triple-digit rushing effort for Benson is possible.
Michael Bush is a tough fantasy play since he has only 29 carries and 101 yards through four games. Still, the guy has scored in three straight games as he routinely replaces Darren McFadden at the goaline making Bush a decent flex option now that the Bye Weeks are upon us.
Jason Campbell seems to enjoy playing on the road more than at home in the Black Hole. Jason has thrown seven scores while allowing only one interception in his last five road starts. He’s also completed 65.1 percent of his passes. The Raiders travel to Houston this week.
Matt Cassel has a QB Rating of better than 100 in each of his last two games. At the same time he’s only averaged 218 yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game in that time. Moreover, on the season, he has just four touchdown passes while he has averaged 172 yards passing a game. His last match up with the Colts? He threw for 156 yards and no scores. You can do better in Week 5.
Scott Chandler is nothing other than a red zone target this season as he has a mere 11 receptions for 97 yards through four games. Still, he has scored four times, second most at the position (Ron Gronkowski has five scores).
Owen Daniels has been a bit disappointing with only 14 receptions and 182 yards through four games. Still, with Andre Johnson sidelined, Daniels role in the offense figures to do nothing but grow, not a bad thing since he’s scored in 3-straight games for the Texans. The club from Texas is facing the Raiders this week, and the team from Oakland has allowed eight passing scores in four games.
Nothing is guaranteed, but Maurice Jones-Drew producing a strong outing is pretty much a lock. The dude has run for at least 80 yards in eight of his last nine outings, and in four games this season he is averaging 97.7 yards per game. Still, the Bengals have allowed an NFL low 275.5 yards per game this season including just 86.8 yards per game on the ground so that matchup is a tough one.
Fred Jackson is a must start at this point, especially with the Bills doing as they should and admitting this week that he deserves to get an ever bigger workload moving forward. Still, if you have any doubt about him being an RB1 at the moment, here you go. Jackson is averaging 7.1 yards a carry at home this season, and the last four times against NFC opponents, the Bills face the Eagles this week, he has run for an average of 96 yards a game.
Tamba Hali had two sacks in Week 4 to move into third on the Chiefs all-time list with 44.5 (Derek Thomas had 126.5, Neil Smith 85.5). Hali faces a Colts club this week that he recorded a sack against in each of his last two outings, and with the offensive line troubles the Colts are having, he’s a good bet to keep that streak going.
Matt Hasselbeck has started four games for the Titans and he’s posted a QB Rating of at least 93.1 each time on the field. Matt has thrown for five scores and one interception in his last two games and he gets to face a Steelers defense that hasn’t come up with an interception this season. It’s doesn’t exactly figure to be easy sledding for Hasselbeck though as the Steelers are currently the toughest team in the league to pass against as they have permitted just 157.5 yards a game this season.
Santonio Holmes needs to get the ball, and he told the press just that this week. In his last three games he’s caught just seven passes for 94 yards. Hey Jets, do you realize that when Holmes scores you’re 5-1? This week the Jets face a Patriots team that is abysmal against the pass allowing an NFL worst 368.8 yards per game this season while permitting seven passing scores in four games.
Chris Johnson has suited up for 51 games in his career. Twenty five times he has run for 100 yards.
Willis McGahee is the lead dog in Denver until he proves he can’t do it according to the coaching staff. McGahee ran for 103 yards last week and he’s had success against the Chargers in his career with four rushing scores over the last three match ups.
In 10 games against the Broncos Philip Rivers has thrown 18 touchdowns while posting a 112.4 QB Rating thanks, in part, to just five interceptions. Will he have similar success this week with no Antonio Gates an a beat up Vincent Jackson?
Mike Tolbert might be losing looks to Ryan Mathews, but Tolbert still has 25 catches on the year, the second best total in the game for a running back (Darren Sproles and Matt Forte each have 26).
Mike Wallace has averaged 113.5 yards per game this season. The last three home games he’s played he’s walked away with 102, 104 and 126 yards, good for an average of 110.7 yards per game.
Random Start of the Week
(That one player you would never consider starting but for some reason he might be worth a look if you’re desperate.)
Dexter McCluster, Chiefs
Hey, it’s a bye week so it’s all hands on deck this week. Obviously start the mighty mite really only makes sense in a PPR league, it’s not like he’s going to get 15 carries, but sometimes you gotta do what you gotta do. McCluster is averaging just slightly more than four receptions a week, and he’s actually been very effective when given the ball in the running game as he has averaged 5.9 yards a carry over his 28 rushes. This week he faces a Colts defense that is 28th against the rush and 20th against the pass, so the match up also seems to be rather tasty ‚Äď that is if the Chiefs can figure out how to move the ball, something they have struggled with at times this season.
Ray Flowers can be heard daily on Sirius/XM Radio on The Fantasy Drive on Sirius 210 and XM 87. Ray’s baseball analysis can be found at BaseballGuys.com and his minute to minute musings can be located at the BaseballGuys’ Twitter account.