Incarcerated Bob gives his picks and analysis on Saturday’s¬† Wild Card Playoff games.
NFL Picks Wild Card Weekend : 1/8
NO Saints @ Seattle Seahawks (Pick #1)
Vegas Line: NO Saints -10.5 (-110)
Vegas Total: Saints/Seahawks¬† O/U 45
Bob‚Äôs Lowdown ‚Äď This week‚Äôs spread is one of the most surprising playoff lines I‚Äôve seen in a long time. Even if the Saints were as good as last year, I wouldn‚Äôt be able to justify making them double digit favorites in this situation. The Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 January games, and the Seahawks have a history of playing their best football at home. Their strengths come from the atmosphere in the stadium and the weather during December and January football. The Saints play indoors 8 games a year, and this week will be without their two starting running backs. They won‚Äôt be able to pass the ball nearly as well as they did in week 11 with the temperature down to 37 F and a 30% chance of snow. Seattle has announced they‚Äôll be starting veteran Matt Hasselbeck at QB. Hasselbeck has the playoff experience and the ability to keep this game close, and the Seahawks can find holes in the running game with Marshan Lynch. Saints are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 versus a team with a losing record, so I like the Seahawks +11 as my top play this week.
Incarcerated Pick: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +10.5 ( 3 Star Bet )
NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND (Pick #2)
NY Jets @ Indianapolis Colts
Vegas Line: NY Jets +3 (-110)
Vegas Total: Jets/Colts¬† O/U 44.5
Bob‚Äôs Lowdown – The Jets play the type of game that translates well on the road, ground & pound & a little mixture of Holmes+Keller+Edwards will equal big trouble for a banged up Colts secondary. Yes, the Peyton Manning is still one of the best QB’S in the league, but he has shown that he can be human in the playoffs (Ask the Saints & Patriots) & without Clark and Collie, Manning will find it tough to make a big play on 3rd down this year. On the other side of the ball, Mark Sanchez has shown he loves playing on the “Road” in big games (Except Pats Game) and last year he played 10 Quarters of flawless playoff football on the road & if not for Shone Greene breaking his ribs last year in Indy, we might be talking about “Sanchise” as the defending SB Champion QB. If the Jets can stake themselves to an early lead, that will totally eliminate the Colts` running game & make Manning a one dimensional sitting duck for the Rex Ryan “I Love Feet” blitzes. Looking back at a big sample, the Colts are 5-6 ATS as a Home Playoff Fav. Meanwhile, the Jets are 4-1 ATS as Road Underdogs. Look for Sanchez & the Jets to get a tough 3 point win in Colts land – Its all about REVENGE!
Incarcerated Pick: NY JETS +3 ( 5 Star Bet )
**SUNDAY’S PICKS WILL BE UP AT 11:00AM EST**
**All NFL Lines are from Bodog**
**My Strength Of Bet Is rated From 1-5 Stars**
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