Posts Tagged ‘Al Horford’

Fantasy Basketball: Need help on the boards?

Friday, February 17th, 2012

If you mistakenly undervalued the all-important category of rebounding this season you probably find yourself in somewhat of a bind right now.

With pretty decent all-around production from a plethora of fantasy performers in many other strong categories this year, consistent rebounding numbers have been, surprisingly, one of the stats that seem to be harder to come by.

Now, obviously if you were smart enough to snatch up Kevin Love or Dwight Howard chances are you’re doing alright.

But for those ladies and gentlemen who snatched up say Andrew Bogut, Zach Randolph or even Al Horford as their primary glass eaters only to them go down for significant time early in the season; you’re most likely scrambling right now trying to replace their consistently strong rebounding numbers.

Not to worry. Luckily for you the waiver wire is your friend and so are we.

Although we can’t promise you the timely consistency of a Randolph or Horford on the boards, based on a few hidden rebounding gems out there hopefully we can at least help you strategically shore up this weak link in your roster before it’s too late.

Ersan Ilyasova, Milwaukee Bucks SF/PF – Ilyasova, along with the surprising Drew Gooden, has been huge for the Bucks in Andrew Bogut’s absence.

In his last 12 games the 6-10 Turkish-born combo forward is averaging an impressive 9.9 rebounds in 26.2 minutes per contest. During that 12-game span he’s sprinkled in performances of 19, 11, 14 and 12 rebounds while hauling down 16 big caroms against the Magic this past Saturday night. His minutes are on the rise as he brings the hustle and passion Head Coach Scott Skiles demands of his players.

It’s reported that Gooden is suffering through a sprained right wrist and with Bogut won’t be back for some time, so a wise move would be to pick up Ilyasova while you still have the chance.

Nikola Pekovic, Minnesota Timberwolves C – Darko missed six games returning from quad and ankle injuries to post a mere block, zero points and 3 fouls in 4 minutes of action Monday night in Orlando.

On the other end of the spectrum Nikola Pekovic, the man who has filled in brilliantly at center for the Wolves in Milicic’s absence, tallied 16 points and hauled down 13 rebounds to go along with a block and a steal in 33 minutes. And he did all that against the most physically dominant big man in the league in Dwight Howard.

So it was a surprise to no one when Head Coach Rick Adelman chose to run with Pekovic, again, over Milicic the next time out against the Bobcats.

His response?

Oh just 21 points, 11 rebounds and 3 blocks in a 102-90 win over lowly Charlotte.

That makes 3 straight double-doubles for Pekovic and, more importantly, a nice stranglehold on the starting center position in Minny.

Pekovic has registered 7 such double-doubles in his last 12 outings. In those 12 contests he is averaging 10.1 rebounds. Over his last 3 he is averaging 19.3 points, 12.3 boards and 1.7 blocks per game on a deft 65% shooting from the field.

Now it’s your turn to respond accordingly by snatching him up with the quickness.

Gustavo Ayon, New Orleans Hornets PF – Gustavo Ayon is a 26-year old rookie power forward from Mexico. The last couple seasons he has played in one of the more widely recognized and competitive International Leagues in the World.

But now due to injuries to starting center Emeka Okafor, reported to be out until after the All-Star break to rest his knee, coupled with power forward Carl Landry’s injury, Ayon, is getting a quick crash course in NBA basketball as a member of the New Orleans Hornets.

And to his credit, the 6-10, 250-pound active forward is doing a pretty serviceable job thus far.

Getting extended minutes by necessity, Ayon is averaging a respectable 8.0 rebounds in his last five games while adding 1.2 blocks, 1.4 steals and 7.4 points on 53.3% shooting from the floor.

He’s also seeing an average of 29.2 minutes per game, 34 minutes per game over his last two while putting in 10.5 rebounds, 12.5 points, 1.5 blocks and 2.0 steals.

Not bad production by any means. And with Okafor and Landry out expect consistent playing time from the Mexico-native at least in the short term.

Marreese Speights, Memphis Grizzlies PF – Unfortunately, you don’t always know what you’ll get with one Marreese Speights, but to his credit over has last five ball games he’s been pretty nice.

And if you play in a league where you’re stuck with a guy for the week, the averages in Speights’ case work out well even if he hits with a clunker in there.

To that point, Speights is averaging 12.0 points and 11.6 rebounds over his last five.

He dominated the lowly Nets this past Wednesday night racking up an impressive 20-point, 18-rebound, 2-block double-double much to the delight of savvy fantasy owners out there who already snatched him up.

Speights can be a bit risky to say the least, but with Zach Randolph tentatively scheduled to be out for at least another month or so; you can count on him for decent enough rebounding numbers to keep you in the run of things for the short term.

Trevor Booker, Washington Wizards PF – The Wizards have actually begun to play much better basketball since Randy Wittman took over the reigns. That may have to do with Wittman’s insistence on playing the guys who put forth maximum effort every night out.

Booker is one of those such guys. With Andray Blatche still out with a calf injury and Rashard Lewis returning rather slowly, Booker has provided a much-needed jolt of energy and athleticism at the power forward spot for the lowly Wizards.

Although a tad bit undersized by NBA standards at the position, the 6-8, 240-pound second year man out of Clemson is more than able to bang with the best of them down low.

To that point Booker is averaging 8.6 rebounds, 1.0 steal and 10.8 points in 32.2 minutes of action for Washington over their last five games.

Against the Miami Heat last Friday he posted an impressive 13-point, 15-rebound, 4-steal line in a 106-89 loss at home.

With the always-tenuous situation in D.C. it can be difficult to gage who gets minutes and who doesn’t for extended periods of time, however to Wittman’s credit he has stood by his desire to play those that truly warrant the time based on effort first.

Which is great news for Booker who never has any issue going all out on the court.

Fantasy Basketball: The Replacements

Tuesday, January 24th, 2012

 

Over the past couple weeks we’ve seen the likes of C.J. Watson, Mo Williams, and Nate Robinson fill-in for injured starters and deliver exceptional fantasy production. Their performances weren’t particularly surprising as all three of them have been good per-minute producers throughout the majority of their careers. It’s just a matter of when they will they get the minutes.

Capitalizing on these replacements is not easy as reserves tend to be inconsistent performers, but seemingly every team has a talent buried in the rotation that is primed for production if given the opportunity.

On Monday we learned that Luol Deng may have suffered ligament damage in his wrist. The official word isn’t expected until later, but it stands to reason that Ronnie Brewer – his replacement in Monday’s 110-95 win over the Nets – will be seeing starter’s minutes for the foreseeable future.

The 26-year-old has never been a fantasy dynamo, but he did start 223 of his first 266 NBA games (all with the Jazz). He has drawn 11 starts already this season (mostly in place of Richard Hamilton), and despite averaging over 28 minutes, he’s produced just 8.0 points, 3.3 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 1.1 steals, and 0.4 three-pointers in those starts.

Expecting much more production from Brewer – even with starter’s minutes – is a desperate move. He’s a fine deep-league addition and could even come through as a steals specialist in more standard leagues, but he’s not going to change the prospects of your fantasy team overnight.

But there are some under-utilized players that could do just that. Each of the following players is already having a solid season, but playing time continues to stand in the way of evolving from a nice contributor to a solid starting option. However, in many of these cases, an injury to the player ahead of them on the depth chart stands to happen at some point this season.

GUARDS

Jordan Farmar, New Jersey Nets – Perhaps it was the confidence he gained from his offseason play with Maccabi Tel Aviv, but Farmar finally looks like he has blossomed into the consistent playmaker that was always in his pedigree. Only one problem – Deron Williams is ahead of him on the depth chart. Despite just 19.0 minutes per game, Farmar boasts a very impressive 21.4 PER. If we extrapolate his numbers to 36 minutes per game, he’s delivering 18.1 points, 6.0 assists, 3.2 rebounds, 2.5 three-pointers and 1.3 steals per game. He’s shooting .477/.457/.903 on the season.

Rodrigue Beaubois, Dallas Mavericks – Roddy is averaging just 14 minutes per game and he’s not shooting particularly well (just 38.5%), but he’s a lightning rod who’s making things happen for the Mavericks. The team is +15 when he’s on the court and just +0.6 when he’s on the bench. In contrast, the soon-to-be-39 Jason Kidd has the Mavs at (-9.8) when he’s been on the court. His team is +14.5 when he’s been on the bench. You get the picture. Per 36 minutes, Kidd’s backup is averaging 15.2 points, 6.5 rebounds, 3.6 assists, 3.1 steals, 1.6 three-pointers, and 1.3 blocks.

Jerryd Bayless, Toronto Raptors – Before an ankle injury sidelined him for a month, Bayless was threatening to take Jose Calderon’s starting job. But the Spaniard showed well in his backup’s absence and Bayless may not see more than 20 minutes per game anytime soon. But Calderon’s injury history is lengthy, and Bayless’ talent is vast. In 14 starts last season, he averaged 18.1 points, 6.7 assists, 3.6 rebounds, 1.2 three-pointers, and one steal while shooting 46.7% from the field and 81% from the line.

Goran Dragic, Houston Rockets – Once heralded as Steve Nash’s successor, Dragic has been little more than a very steady backup over his four-year career. With Kyle Lowry playing at a breakneck pace, Dragic is picking up less than 20 minutes per night. However, his 16.0 PER suggests he’s continued to handle the role very well. He’ll never provide much defense, but should Lowry go down, Dragic could deliver 15 points, 6.5 assists, and 1.5 three-pointers on a nightly basis.

BIG MEN

Ian Mahinmi – Anyone who has been watching the Mavericks this season will tell you Mahinmi plays like a winner. Although he’s currently backing up Brendan Haywood, he may not need an injury to take over the starting job. He’s among the more athletic big men in the game and it’s not impossible to see him logging more than 30 minutes a night, although foul trouble is a looming issue. Currently averaging just over 20 minutes per game, he’s already more productive than Haywood. Per 36 minutes, the numbers look very solid: 14.6 points, 9.1 rebounds, 1.3 blocks, and 1.0 steals. He’s also an outstanding finisher as evidenced by his 64.3 FG% this season.

Tiago Splitter – With Tim Duncan taking the second part of a back-to-back off this past Saturday, Splitter was on the floor for 32 minutes and finished with 25 points, 10 rebounds, and four assists while hitting 11-of-13 shots. And we shouldn’t be surprised. The European-seasoned vet (although he is still just 27) plays a smart brand of basketball and is fairly efficient as evidenced by his 17.8 PER. But he could be even better without the logjam of Duncan, DeJuan Blair, and Matt Bonner. Per 36 minutes, Splitter is delivering 15.1 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks on an outstanding 62.0 FG%.

Bismack Biyombo – Tyrus Thomas has played dead most of the season and despite Paul Silas’ recent backing of the former fourth overall pick, it’s impossible to ignore the immense potential of Biyombo. The 19-year-old native of Congo is logging more consistent minutes of late and he’s certainly not wasting them. Per 36 minutes, the rookie is producing 9.9 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 4.5 blocks on 53.5% shooting. Given that the Bobcats currently hold the 28thbest defensive rating, it’s time to turn Bismack loose.

Nikola Vucevic – The Sixers have incredible depth and versatility, so it may be somewhat difficult to picture this rookie out of USC playing 30 minutes a game even as the full-time starter. But with Spencer Hawes already on his third nagging injury of the season, it’s not absurd to see the much underrated Vucevic get significant run at some point. Per 36 minutes he’s averaging 12.3 points, 11.6 rebounds, 1.6 blocks, and 1.1 steals. His combination of tenacity on the glass and a reliable perimeter jump shot makes him a talent worth watching for years to come.

THE EXTRA PASS 

The Grizzlies and Pistons are the only two teams with five-game schedules next week. The teams figure to have some one-week additions available on waivers. Keep an eye out for Marreese Speights, Tony Allen, O.J. Mayo, Jonas Jerebko, and possibly even Austin Daye. Tayshaun Prince is likely gone off waivers after catching fire for five games, but the veteran delivered a 9-3-2 line last night. That seems more like it.

Brandon Jennings has been on fire, as well, over the past weeks, he’s been a top 10 player. But he’s also shooting over 48%, which paints him as a far more efficient scorer than history suggests. Someone in your league will overpay for him. Assuming you own him, find that person. It’s not easy parting with someone as talented and entertaining as Jennings, but it’s a good move if you can bring back a top talent in return.

Hawks are 7-1 since losing Al Horford. The Grizzlies are 8-3 without Zach Randolph.